Wealden Covid-19 cases rocket: we explain why

Confirmed cases of Coronavirus in the Wealden area have almost doubled since we last reported a week ago . . .  but there is no need for great alarm.

They now stand at 439 – up from 231, a rate of 274.1 per 100,000 of population.

The rise is explained by a change in the way the statistics are being collated and presented by government agencies.

This is not a recent surge in cases – the cases now being reported occurred from April onwards. They are only now appearing in the data.

Reason for rise

What has happened is this:

Lab-confirmed positive cases now include those identified by testing in testing via Public Health England (PHE) / NHS hospital labs

AND

historic data from testing in the community, including care homes.

Previous data only included tests from PHE and hospital labs.

There had been a small rise in the number of cases in Wealden before the way the data was organised from July 2.

The rate per 100,000 inevitably increases as the number of positive tests goes up because the population is static.

Compare and contrast Wealden with other areas

Important figures remain how Wealden compares with neighbouring authorities, East Sussex, the wider South East and England.

Uckfield High Street Covid-19 social distancing reminder

Here are the statistics from our dataset, adjusted in line with how the national figures are presented.

Wealden is now 58th on a list of lower-tier local authorities, 38th last time.

Neighbouring areas (with last time’s figure in brackets):

  • Brighton and Hove 766 (489) – rate per 100,000 population 263.4
  • Rother 176 (109)  –  rate per 100,000 population 184.0
  • Eastbourne 383 (164) – rate per 100,000 population 371.3 
  • Hastings borough 127 (58) – rate per 100,000- population 136.8  
  • Tunbridge Wells district 447 (274) – rate per 100,000 population 378.6
  • Lewes district 360 (217) – rate per 100,000 population 350.4
  • Mid Sussex 591(296) – rate per 100,000 population 394.7

More comparisons

  • East Sussex – 1,488 (779)  lab-confirmed cases with a rate of 268.3 per 100,000 population
  • West Sussex –  2,689 (1,378)  lab-confirmed cases with a rate of 313.1 per 100,000 population
  • South East region – 33,819 (22,803) lab-confirmed cases with a rate of 370.3 per 100,000 population
  • England – 245,483 (160,292) lab-confirmed cases with a rate per 100,000 population of 438.5
  • Leicester, which has had to re-enter full lockdown, has 3,794 lab confirmed cases as of teatime yesterday (July 5) with a rate of 1,068.1 per 100,000 of population. Wealden’s rate  is 274.1 per 100,000 of population.

Getting tested for Covid-19

These figures are extracted from Office of National Statistics data.

See also:

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