Covid-19 cases in Wealden have seen a big rise in the last couple of days which can partly be explained by national “technical issues”.
UK figures issued on Saturday (October 3) and yesterday were hours late and showed the number of cases in Wealden had risen by eight on Saturday and 20 on Sunday.
The big increases on those two days are due to undercounting in the previous eight days.
Cautionary notes with weekend’s figures
A statement with Saturday’s national figures said:
“Due to a technical issue, which has now been resolved, there has been a delay in publishing a number of Covid-19 cases to the dashboard in England.
“This means the total reported over the coming days will include some additional cases from the period between 24 September and 1 October, increasing the number of cases reported.”
Yesterday, a note with the national data stated:
“An issue was identified overnight on Friday 2 October in the automated process that transfers positive cases data to PHE. It has now been resolved.
“The cases by publish date for 3 and 4 October include 15,841 additional cases with specimen dates between 25 September and 2 October — they are therefore artificially high for England and the UK.”
What’s the picture in Wealden?
This website has its own datasets to monitor the pandemic and its effect on Uckfield and Wealden. They are based on Government and Office for National Statistics (ONS) statistics.
We generally report cases every seven days – on a Monday.
Since we last reported on Monday, September 28, there have been 37 more cases – taking the total since the start of the pandemic to 588, a rate of 364.1 per 100,000 population.
Daily average of cases
Our data shows that the number of lab-confirmed Wealden Covid-19 cases, when averaged over the 11 days affected by the statistical blip were running at nearly four a day.
In the previous 11 days, the figure was below 1.5 per day.
On a list of 380 local councils, Wealden is 54th (60th last week) when it comes to the rate per 100,000 of population since the pandemic began.
Testing concerns remain
There is also another question mark about the data being released at national level because of the difficulties some people have had in getting a test.
East Sussex public health noted last Thursday (October 1): “Due to national restrictions in testing, the true rates across East Sussex may be higher.”
Compare and contrast Wealden Coronavirus cases with other areas
Here are the statistics for neighbouring areas (last week’s figure and the previous week’s in brackets) with the rate per 100,000 of population since the outbreak began.
- Brighton and Hove 1,170 (1,055)) – 402.2 per hundred thousand of population.
- Eastbourne 555 (528) – 535.0 per hundred thousand of population
- Hastings borough 228 (201) – 246.1 per hundred thousand of population.
- Lewes district 445 (423)) – 430.9 per hundred thousand of population.
- Mid Sussex 754 (717) – 499.3 per hundred thousand of population.
- Rother 249 (233) – 259.2 per hundred thousand of population.
- Tunbridge Wells district 623 (587) – 524.7 per hundred thousand of population.
- East Sussex – 2,065 (1,936) – 370.6 per hundred thousand of population.
- West Sussex – 3,652 (3,431) – 422.7 per hundred thousand of population.
- South East region – 45,496 (42,594) – 495.6 per hundred thousand of population.
- England – 430,843 (373,719) – 765.4 per hundred thousand of population.
These figures are, of course, similarly affected by the weekend’s statistical problems.
Covid-19 in Uckfield area
Looking specifically at the Uckfield area, there were between 0 and 2 cases in the following areas in the period September 24 to September 30, ie: before the under-reporting of cases became known at the weekend.
- Uckfield Town and North
- Uckfield South (New Town and Ridgewood)
- Buxted, Framfield and Rotherfield (includes High Hurstwood, Blackboys and Waldron)
- Five Ash Down, Horsted and Chiddingly (includes Maresfield, Piltdown, Isfield, Halland, East Hoathly and Laughton)
- Chelwood and Nutley (includes Fletching)
Only the exact number of cases is given in official releases when the number of cases is three or more in a particular area.In Uckfield and the communities around the town in the period September.
The number of cases in Uckfield area communities is reported over a different period to the Wealden figures, as are some of the seven-day rolling averages. This is due to the timings of data releases.
This website maintains its own datasets to track Covid-19 in Uckfield, surrounding villages and Wealden more generally. Our statistics are generally taken from ONS data and other published Government sources..
We normally report cases each Monday, based on data up to 4pm the previous day, to allow seven-day comparisons to be made.
We generally update the number of deaths in Wealden on a Wednesday and for Uckfield and surrounding villages on a monthly basis.