Wealden and Uckfield Covid-19 infections on the march

Record total of weekly cases in Wealden
Uckfield numbers picking up again
Working age adults focus of second wave cases

Covid-19 cases in Wealden have shot ahead in the last week having appeared to have plateaued towards the end of October.

Infection numbers in Uckfield and surrounding villages, which lag the district figures by some days, are also again moving ahead.

The rise in cases comes at a time when the national case numbers are climbing.

In the last seven days to yesterday (November 15), the total number of cases rose by 190. The rise in the previous week to November 8 was 101.

 Here’s how the numbers have increased in the last eight weeks:

  • Seven days to September 27: nine cases
  • Seven days to October 4: 37 cases
  • Seven days to October 11: 84 cases
  • Seven days to October 18: 104 cases
  • Seven days to October 25: 117 cases
  • Seven days to November 1: 108 cases
  • Seven days to November 8: 101 cases
  • Seven days to November 15: 190 cases

When looking at the national picture, Wealden is 35th, on a list of 380 local councils (35th last week) – when No 1 is the council area with the fewest cases per 100,000 population since the pandemic began.

The case rate per 100,000 in Wealden as a whole for the last seven days is 83.6. For England as a whole, the figure is 264.4 per 100,00 population.

Here for comparison purposes are the increases in neighbouring local authority areas, for the seven days to November 15.

Uckfield and surrounding villages

Data for these areas is for a seven-day period, although it is updated very day. It lags the daily case numbers given at district council level by five days.

UckfieldNews monitors the data on a daily basis but generally only reports case numbers on a Monday. 

What we have seen is the decline in lab-confirmed cases end and numbers are once again picking up.

Uckfield Town and North: Five cases in the seven days to November 10 – the figure was eight when we reported a week ago.

The seven-day rolling rate is 57.9 per 100,000 population – 92.6 per 100,000 population when we last reported.

Uckfield South (New Town and Ridgewood): Nine cases in the seven days to November 10 – the figure was seven when we reported a week ago. The seven-day rolling rate is 139.2 per 100,000 people – 108.3 per 100,000 people when we last reported.

  • The boundary between the two Uckfield areas is roughly the River Uck.

Buxted, Framfield and Rotherfield (includes High Hurstwood, Blackboys and Waldron): Five cases in the seven days to November 10 – when we reported a week ago this area was running at fewer than three cases, where exact data is suppressed to protect privacy. The seven-day rolling rate is now 59.5 per 100,000 population.

Five Ash Down, Horsted and Chiddingly (includes Maresfield, Piltdown, Isfield, Halland, East Hoathly and Laughton): Seven cases in the seven days to November 10 – the figure was three when we reported a week ago.  The seven-day rolling rate is 99.8 per 100,000 people – 42.8 per 100,000 people last time we reported.

Chelwood and Nutley (includes Fletching): Five cases in the seven day to November 10 – when we reported a week ago this area was running at fewer than three cases, where exact data is suppressed to protect privacy. The seven-day rolling rate is now 91.7 per 100,000 population.

The community groupings for the Uckfield area are those used for national statistical purposes and are areas with around on average 7,200 population.

Seven–day rates are expressed per 100,000 population and are calculated by dividing the seven day count by the area population and multiplying by 100,000. It is the typical way in which data is presented so that like can be compared with like.

What East Sussex Public Health Director says

Here is an analysis of the current situation in East Sussex and Wealden by the county’s Director of Public Health, Darrell Gale, issued on Thursday (November 12).

  • The weekly rate of cases in England has again increased, rising from 229 to 243 to per 100,000 of population;
  • The weekly rate in East Sussex has decreased for the first time since cases started rising nationally in September, from 66 to 60 per 100,000;
  • This change is unlikely to be as a result of national restrictions;
  • East Sussex currently has the lowest weekly rate of infections out of the 149 upper tier local authorities; and
  • East Sussex is seeing the highest number of cases in working age adults.

Mr Gale said: “We are entering the second week of national restrictions which are anticipated to continue through to early December. 

“In East Sussex we have had two months where each new week saw a higher number of new cases, a concerning trend that looked likely to continue into winter. 

Working age adults

“It is interesting to have seen a slight reversal of this trend in the past seven days here which is unlikely to be as a result of the national restrictions (which typically take a couple of weeks to be reflected in a change in the number of new cases). 

“However, we know that trends often show a brief pause and this does not always mean a change in the overall pattern.

“The story of this current wave of Covid-19 continues to be one of predominantly working age adults. 

Good news

“It is good news that we aren’t seeing the highest rate of infection amongst the older age groups as they are most likely to suffer the worst health outcomes. 

“However, we all need to use our networks to promote the importance of social distancing, hand hygiene and the importance of getting test, with a particular focus on those of working age.

Worrying over people failing to self-isolate

“Recent evidence has shown that not everyone is sticking to the guidelines regarding self-isolation. 

“Anyone with a new persistent cough, a loss or change to sense of taste or smell, or fever, must order a test. You must self-isolate for at least ten days from when your symptoms start (or longer if your symptoms persist). 

“If you are in contact with a confirmed case you need to self-isolate for 14 days.”

Wealden District

The picture in Wealden is similar to that of East Sussex overall. 

Cases reduced from the first wave to low levels and a reducing trend between June and August. 

The cases in Wealden showed a marked increase in October and although the trend mostly appears flat, these were at higher levels than elsewhere which means Wealden had the highest rate in the county for a couple of weeks. 

However, the rates increased elsewhere and Wealden is currently close to the county average.

Notes:

The number of cases in Uckfield area communities is reported over a different period to the Wealden figures, as are some of the seven-day rolling averages. This is due to the timings of data releases.

This website maintains its own datasets to track Covid-19 in Uckfield, surrounding villages and Wealden more generally. Our statistics are generally taken from ONS data and other published Government sources..

We normally report cases each Monday, based on data up to 4pm the previous day, to allow seven-day comparisons to be made.

We generally update the number of deaths in Wealden on a Wednesday.

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