High numbers of Covid-19 infections are being recorded across Uckfield and the Buxted area. The figure also continues to rise for the whole of Wealden.
When we reported a week ago, the total number of lab-confirmed cases in Wealden of the Coronavirus stood at 1,292 since the pandemic began.
Last Monday (November 16), the Wealden case number for the previous 24 hours was MINUS 54 for reasons which we will explain later in this story.
On the six days when increases were posted (Tuesday to Sunday inclusive), 226 new cases were recorded, the weekly highest total we have reported since testing was extended to all, with the overall figure now standing at 1,464.
Here are the latest figures for Uckfield and surrounding communities
Data for these areas is for a seven-day period, although it is updated every day. It lags the daily case numbers given at district council level by five days.
UckfieldNews monitors the data on a daily basis but generally only reports case numbers on a Monday.
Uckfield Town and North: 13 cases in the seven days to November 17 – the figure was five when we reported a week ago.
The seven-day rolling rate is 150.4 per 100,000 population (below the England average) – 57.9 per 100,000 population when we last reported.
Uckfield South (New Town and Ridgewood): 16 cases in the seven days to November 17 – the figure was nine when we reported a week ago.
The seven-day rolling rate is 274.4 per 100,000 people (above the England average) – 139.2 per 100,000 people when we last reported.
- The boundary between the two Uckfield areas is roughly the River Uck.
Buxted, Framfield and Rotherfield (includes High Hurstwood, Blackboys and Waldron): 21 cases in the seven days to November 17 – the figure was five when we reported a week ago.
The seven-day rolling rate is 249.9 per 100,000 people (above the England average) – 59.5 per 100,000 people when we last reported.
There were nine consecutive days in this area at the end of October/early November when the number of cases ran at fewer than three. At this level, exact numbers are not reported for reasons of privacy.
Five Ash Down, Horsted and Chiddingly (includes Maresfield, Piltdown, Isfield, Halland, East Hoathly and Laughton): 13 cases in the seven days to November 17 – the figure was seven when we reported a week ago.
The seven-day rolling rate is 185.3 per 100,000 people (below the England average) – 99.8 per 100,000 people last time we reported.
Chelwood and Nutley (includes Fletching): six cases in the seven days to November 17 – the figure was five when we reported a week ago.
The seven-day rolling rate is 110.1 per 100,000 people (below the England average) – 91.7 per 100,000 people when we last reported.
The community groupings for the Uckfield area are those used for national statistical purposes and are areas with around on average 7,200 population.
Seven–day rates are expressed per 100,000 population and are calculated by dividing the seven day count by the area population and multiplying by 100,000. It is the typical way in which data is presented so that like can be compared with like.
The seven-day rolling average smooths out the daily fluctuations to help identify overall trends.
What’s happening in Wealden?
In the last seven days to yesterday (November 22), the total number of cases rose by 226 and now stands at 1,464 since the beginning of the pandemic.
Wealden figures for the past week:
Monday, November 16: MINUS 54
Tuesday, November 17: + 27
Wednesday, November 18: + 40
Thursday, November 19: + 57
Friday, November 20: + 25
Saturday: November 21: + 16
Sunday: November 22: +61
Here’s how the numbers have increased in the last nine weeks:
- Seven days to September 27: nine cases
- Seven days to October 4: 37 cases
- Seven days to October 11: 84 cases
- Seven days to October 18: 104 cases
- Seven days to October 25: 117 cases
- Seven days to November 1: 108 cases
- Seven days to November 8: 101 cases
- Seven days to November 15: 190 cases
- Seven days to November 22: 226 cases
When looking at the national picture, Wealden is 39th, on a list of 380 local councils (35th last week) – when No 1 is the council area with the fewest cases per 100,000 population since the pandemic began.
Why did Wealden record a minus figure on November 16?
This was part of a national change so that new cases are better attributed to where people currently live.
Dr Yvonne Doyle, Medical Director at Public Health England, said:
“We have updated the way we record the location of people who test positive for coronavirus to prioritise addresses given at point of testing, rather than details registered on the NHS database.
“This better reflects the distribution of positive cases in recent weeks and months, particularly among younger people of university age who may not have yet registered with a GP at their term-time address.
“This has not affected any decision about local and national restrictions, which take into account a wider range of evidence.”
How were neighbouring districts affected by this change?
Brighton and Hove: + 230 cases
Eastbourne: no change
Hastings: – 1
Lewes: – 57
Mid Sussex: – 18
Rother: plus 3
Tunbridge Wells: – 87
East Sussex viewpoint
Commentary for East Sussex from the Director of Public Health, Darrell Gale.
- The weekly rate of cases in England continues to rise, going from 243 to 274 per 100,000
- The weekly rate in East Sussex has also shown a large increase, going from 66 to 110 per 100,000.
- East Sussex currently has the fifth lowest weekly rate of infections out of the 149 upper tier local authorities.
- We continue to see our highest number of cases in working age adults.
- Public Health England have updated the allocation of positive cases to better reflect where people live, leading to a small reduction in the total cases attributable to East Sussex.
Hope for positive impact from national lockdown
Mr Gale said: “As we start the third week of national restrictions, we continue to see cases rise nationally and locally. We expect to see a delay in the number of cases as a result of changes in behaviour and it is still too soon to assess the impact that these national restrictions have had.
“Although we noted a small decrease last week, we have returned to the familiar pattern of increasing cases that has characterised the last couple of months and the last week has shown the biggest weekly rise to date.
“However, I hope that by next week we will start to see a positive impact from the national restrictions and the steps we are all taking to follow the new national stay at home guidance.
Date change had variable impact
“As mentioned in previous weekly surveillance reports, we had noted that some people were being incorrectly attributed to East Sussex. This was particularly noted for university students who had tested positive but not yet changed their GP practice.
“National data has been updated so that new cases are better attributed to where people currently live. This has a variable impact on different areas.
“For East Sussex this has led to a small reduction in our overall total number of cases. All data in this report is now adjusted according to reflect this change.”
The cases in Wealden showed a marked increase in October and although the trend mostly appears flat, these were at higher levels than elsewhere which meant Wealden had the highest rate in the county for a couple of weeks. A larger increase in November means Wealden is now the second highest in the county, just behind Rother.
The number of cases in Uckfield area communities is reported over a different period to the Wealden figures, as are some of the seven-day rolling averages. This is due to the timings of data releases.
This website maintains its own datasets to track Covid-19 in Uckfield, surrounding villages and Wealden more generally. Our statistics are generally taken from ONS data and other published Government sources..
We normally report cases each Monday, based on data up to 4pm the previous day, to allow seven-day comparisons to be made.
We generally update the number of deaths in Wealden on a Wednesday.