Uckfield and Wealden Covid-19 infections may be declining

Rapid rises in Covid-19 cases in Uckfield, Wealden and East Sussex appear to be levelling off.

In recent weeks, the numbers have shot ahead but the latest data shows cases could be plateauing or going into decline with 301 fewer infections in Wealden during the last seven days, compared with the previous seven-day period.

Reductions have also been seen in Uckfield and surrounding villages. This is emerging data and more figures are needed to establish if this is a trend, although it is to be expected with a tough lockdown in place.

However, the number of cases remains high with Wealden still recording three figure increases each day.

There have generally been big increases in the number of Covid patients admitted to hospital – data towards the end of this story.

The message from public officials remains: stick to the lockdown rules.

Cases of the Coronavirus in Wealden in the last seven days totalled 934.

How quickly has Covid-19 spread in Wealden in recent weeks?

The total number of cases passed the 6,000 mark on January 15.

The 5,000 mark was reached on January 9 and it was only on December 11 that the total of confirmed cases in Wealden went by the 2,000 mark – the 1,000 total was only breached at the beginning of November.

In the first week of last September, this website reported there had been 13 new cases in the previous seven days, taking the total since the start of the pandemic to 509.

As always, it should be noted that the first wave last spring did not document all cases because testing was limited.

The current rate of infection per 100,000 population in Wealden is 557.4 per 100,000 people which is above the England rate of 537.9 per 100,000 people.

New Covid cases in surrounding council areas in the last seven days:

  • Brighton and Hove: 1,453 with a rate of 577.2 per 100,000 population
  • Eastbourne borough: 911 with a rate of 887.8 per 100,000 population
  • Hastings borough: 504 with a rate of 629.2 per 100,000 population
  • Lewes district: 487 with a rate of 548.1 per 100,000 population
  • Mid Sussex: 602 with a rate of 408.5 per 100,000 population
  • Rother: 409 with a rate of 461.1 per 100,000 population
  • Tunbridge Wells district: 503 with a rate of 425.4 per 100,000 population

All these areas are showing fewer cases.

The above data is up to yesterday (January 17) afternoon. The breakdown of the seven-day rolling rate for the Uckfield district (below) is up to January 12. The village groupings have similar size populations.

Uckfield area infection rates

Uckfield Town and North:  35 cases in the seven days to January 12 – the figure was 44 a week ago.

The seven-day rolling rate is 405.0 per 100,000 population –  509.1 per 100,000 population a week ago.

Uckfield South (New Town and Ridgewood): 30 cases in the seven days to January 12 – the figure was 50 a week ago. 

The seven-day rolling rate is 464.0 per 100,000 people – 777.3 per 100,000 a week ago.

  • The boundary between the two Uckfield areas is roughly the River Uck.

Buxted, Framfield and Rotherfield (includes High Hurstwood, Blackboys, Hadlow Down and Waldron): 34 cases in the seven days to January 12 – the figure was 54 a week ago.

The seven-day rolling rate is 404.5 per 100,000 people – 642.5 per 100,000 people a week ago.

Five Ash Down, Horsted and Chiddingly (includes Maresfield, Piltdown, Isfield, Halland, East Hoathly and Laughton): 31 cases in the seven days to January 12 – the figure was 34 a week ago.

The seven-day rolling rate is 441.8 per 100,000 people – 484.6 per 100,000 a week ago.

Chelwood and Nutley (includes Fletching): 18 cases in the seven days to January 12 – the figure was 24 a week ago.

The seven-day rolling rate is 330.2 per 100,000 people – 440.3 per 100,000 people a week ago.

The community groupings for the Uckfield area are those used for national statistical purposes and are areas with around on average 7,200 population.

Seven–day rates are expressed per 100,000 population and are calculated by dividing the seven day count by the area population and multiplying by 100,000. It is the typical way in which data is presented so that like can be compared with like.

The seven-day rolling average smooths out the daily fluctuations to help identify overall trends.

When looking at the data, the rate per 100,000 populations gives you the best comparisons.

East Sussex Public Health update

Director of Public Health, Darrell Gale, said on Thursday (January 14):

“The sharp increases that we have been seeing recently finally look like they may be stabilising. 

“The weekly rate in East Sussex has still increased from last week, but a smaller increase from 714 per 100,000 to 777 per 100,000 for the week ended January 8. 

“Although we are no longer seeing a sharp increase in East Sussex, it is concerning that the rate is still increasing.”

What is the situation with hospitals where Uckfield area patients tend to go?

Covid-19 hospital data is to January 10

Brighton and Sussex University Hospitals NHS Trust NHS Trust (Royal Sussex County in Brighton and the Princess Royal at Haywards Heath)

198 patients admitted in the last seven days – up 79 (66.4%) on the previous seven day period. There are 52 people on ventilation (38 when we last reported).

East Sussex Healthcare (DGH at Eastbourne and Conquest at Hastings)

277 patients admitted in the last seven days – up 189 (214.8%) on the previous seven day period. There are 23 people on ventilation (21 when we last reported).

Maidstone and Tunbridge Wells NHS Trust (Tunbridge Wells and Maidstone)

194 patients admitted in the last seven days – no change on the previous seven day period). There are 23 people on ventilation (22 when we last reported).

  • The R rate for the South East healthcare region is estimated at 1 to 1.2 (as of January 15) – 1.1 to 1.4 when we reported a week ago.

Message from East Sussex Healthcare Medical Director [external link]

County council relaxes bus pass rules to help people get to vaccination centres.

Notes:

  • UckfieldNews.com maintains its own datasets relating to Covid-19 in Wealden and Uckfield. They are built using published sources, generally the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and the UK Government.
  • Cases (infections) are of people with at least one positive Covid-19 test result (either lab-reported or lateral flow device)
  • Published ONS data for the five days before any publication is regarded as incomplete by the ONS and is subject to revision, as necessary. As a result, this means some of the stats in this report may not tally exactly with figures in last week’s report. 
  • We generally report Wealden case numbers on a Monday and deaths on a Wednesday

See also:

New Uckfield shop will stock supplies for witches

Uckfield concern over lack of planning notices

Manufacturer buys two Bellbrook Estate units

Wealden Council records decline in pollution levels

How hidden structure helps migrating fish by-pass Roller Mill

Find local businesses in our Uckfield Directory

How to advertise on UckfieldNews.com

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